My Predictions

In ten minutes, it will be election day here.

They’ve already voted in Dixville Knox, and soon will be elsewhere.

As somebody who loves to watch politics the way that others obsessed over football/baseball stats, I thought I’d put forth how I think things will go tomorrow.

Using the map at the great 270towin.com site, here is my map:

We’ll see how it really works out.

If you look at the state polls, there is a pretty clear sense that the ones trending blue are trending more blue at this point. Things seem to be breaking Obama’s way. (Having said all this, I can’t for the life of me figure out how Nate Silver sees Florida breaking for Obama…)

I keep hearing many folks predicting that Romney will win, because Republican enthusiasm is higher. But that doesn’t seem to be the case, overall. And independents don’t seem to be breaking to Romney in huge numbers.

Both sides seem pretty confident, but the math seems to favor Obama. Anyway, just wanted to be on record. We’ll see how closely this resembles the actual result.

It’s definitely going to be an interesting and historic day.

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Eric Folkerth is a minister, musician, author and blogger. He is Senior Pastor of Kessler Park UMC United Methodist Church in Dallas, Texas. Previously, he was pastor at Northaven UMC in Dallas for seventeen years. Eric loves to write on topics of spirituality, social justice, music/art and politics. The entries on this blog reflect that diversity of interests. Eric is an avid blogger and published author, and 2017 recipient of the prestigeous Kuchling Humanitarian Award from Dallas’ Black Tie Dinner. (Human Rights Campaign) Eric has led or co-led hundreds of persons on mission trips around the globe, to places such as Mexico, Haiti, Russia, and Nepal. He has worked with lay persons to build ten homes, and one Community Center, in partnership with Habitat for Humanity of Dallas. He’s a popular preacher, and often tackles challenging issues of social justice in his writings and sermons. His wife, Judge Dennise Garcia, is a State District Judge for Dallas, County. As judge of the 303rd Family District Court, she consistently gets high ratings from area lawyers, and was named “best judge” by The Dallas Observer. First elected in 2004, she was the first Latina ever elected to a county-wide bench in Dallas County, and is currently the longest service district judge in that district. She was re-elected for a fourth term in 2018. They have the world’s best daughter, Maria, and an incredible dog, Daisy. Find links to Eric’s music-related websites, at the top of this site’s navigation menu.

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