My Predictions

In ten minutes, it will be election day here.

They’ve already voted in Dixville Knox, and soon will be elsewhere.

As somebody who loves to watch politics the way that others obsessed over football/baseball stats, I thought I’d put forth how I think things will go tomorrow.

Using the map at the great 270towin.com site, here is my map:

We’ll see how it really works out.

If you look at the state polls, there is a pretty clear sense that the ones trending blue are trending more blue at this point. Things seem to be breaking Obama’s way. (Having said all this, I can’t for the life of me figure out how Nate Silver sees Florida breaking for Obama…)

I keep hearing many folks predicting that Romney will win, because Republican enthusiasm is higher. But that doesn’t seem to be the case, overall. And independents don’t seem to be breaking to Romney in huge numbers.

Both sides seem pretty confident, but the math seems to favor Obama. Anyway, just wanted to be on record. We’ll see how closely this resembles the actual result.

It’s definitely going to be an interesting and historic day.

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Eric Folkerth is a minister, musician, author and blogger. He is Senior Pastor of Kessler Park UMC United Methodist Church in Dallas, Texas. Previously, he was pastor at Northaven UMC in Dallas for seventeen years. Eric loves to write on topics of spirituality, social justice, music/art and politics. The entries on this blog reflect that diversity of interests. His passion for social justice goes beyond mere words. Eric was arrested at the White House, defending immigrants and “The Dreamers;” and he’s officiated at same sex weddings. Eric was the 2017 recipient of the prestigeous Kuchling Humanitarian Award from Dallas’ Black Tie Dinner. (Human Rights Campaign) Eric has led or co-led hundreds of persons on mission trips to build houses and bring medical care around the globe, to places such as Mexico, Haiti, Russia, Guatemala, and Nepal. He is proud of have shephereded Highland Park UMC's construction of ten Habitat for Humanity homes, (and one Community Center) and helped forge an alliance with Habitat that led to the construction of 100 homes in Dallas, housing thousands of people. His wife, Justice Dennise Garcia, has 20 years experience as a state district judge and appelate justice in North Texas. First elected in 2004, she was the first Latina ever elected to a Dallas County state district bench, and she she left that position whe was the longest currently serving district judge. In 2020 Dennise Garcia was a elected as a Justice of the 5th District Court of Appeals for Texas. She is currently running to be Chief of the 5th District Court of Appeals in the 2024 cycle. They have the world’s best daughter, Maria, who is a practicing professional counselor in Dallas. Find links to Eric’s music-related websites, at the top of this site’s navigation menu.

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