It’s All About the Math

This is what I’ve known about “Fantasy Football” for a while now. It’s all about the math. If you want to win, it’s not about drafting players from your favorite pro team, or favorite college team. It’s about which players put up the most consistent numbers.

I won our league last year, on the back of Michael Vick. (Although, my team was so good that I would have won almost every game without him…)

We had our draft Sunday afternoon, and what follows is my team, along with the player’s pre-season fantasy ranking, calculated by NFL.com.

As you can see, it’s a pretty deep team.

Aaron Rodgers QB – GB Preseason: #3
DeAngelo Williams RB – CAR Preseason: #8
Rashard Mendenhall RB – PIT Preseason: #9
Anquan Boldin WR – BAL Preseason: #5
Devery Henderson WR – NO Preseason: #21
Larry Fitzgerald WR – ARI Preseason:#8
Lance Kendricks TE – STL Preseason: #7
Phil Dawson K – CLE Preseason: #1
Green Bay Packers DEF Preseason: #1

There you have it. What I like about the team is few players from the same team…always a draft goal of mine (spread the risk around). Also, lots of players that might not be at the very top of their position, but collectively are near the top of all categories. (What I look for is consistency…) The lowest ranking player I have is Henderson, 21st at wide receiver…which is still not bad.

So, here’s the breakdown for me:
Quarterback: Top five.
Running Backs: Both top ten.
Wide Receivers: Two top ten.
Tight End: Top ten.
Kicker: Number one.
Defense: Number one.

See, I like the way this all fits together. You want a team that is deep, not just reliant on a few stud players. But, I also have a few stud players. Don’t underestimate defense and kicking either. You get a good fantasy kicker and defense, that those will be consistent points each week.

And wide receivers. Very important. The good ones can have unbelievable breakout games that really rack up the points. If Henderson can get his act together, this will be a great trio. (And if he doesn’t, I’ve got Devone Bess on the bench, ready to take his place..)

It seems to me the biggest gamble I am taking is at tight end, with the relatively untested Kendricks. But the theory is that this could be Sam Bradford’s breakout year, and if so, he’s gonna be looking at Kendricks quite a bit. It’s a gamble, and could turn out badly…or could turn out awesome.

The rest is, theoretically, solid.

Now, we just see how they play, week in and week out.

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Eric Folkerth is a minister, musician, author and blogger. He has been Senior Pastor of Northaven United Methodist Church in Dallas, Texas since 2001. During his tenure, church membership has grown almost 30 percent, and a completely new church facility (sanctuary and education building) has been constructed. Northaven is a leading progressive Christian congregation in the Southwest. Northaven is an eclectic collection of gay and straight families, artists, musicians, theater folks, academic theologians, lawyers and judges (go figure), socially conscious community activists, people who don't "check their brain at the door," and a wide array of others who either see it as their "last chance" inside the "institutional church," or their first trip back in decades. Eric is an avid blogger and published author.  Eric is also an award-winning singer-songwriter, who performs throughout Texas and the Southwest. He's an engaging live performer whose first CD was released in 2000. His songs have won honorable mention in both the Billboard and Great American song contests; and he's been a finalist in the 5th Street Festival and South Florida Folk Festival songwriter competitions. Eric is also a leader of Connections, a unique band comprised of United Methodist clergy and layfolk from throughout North Texas. Connections performs "cover shows" of artists like Dan Fogelberg, Chicago, Eagles, Doobie Brothers, Billy Joel, Stevie Wonder, James Taylor and others. Their shows draw crowds of between 300 and 1,000 fans, and they have raised more than $240,000 dollars for worthy charities. Eric has led or co-led hundreds of persons on mission trips around the globe, to places such as Mexico, Haiti, Russia, and Nepal. He has worked with lay persons to build ten homes, and one Community Center, in partnership with Habitat for Humanity of Dallas. He's a popular preacher, and often tackles challenging issues of social justice in his writings and sermons. His wife, Judge Dennise Garcia, is a State District Judge for Dallas, County. As judge of the 303rd Family District Court, she consistently gets high ratings from area lawyers, and was named "best judge" by The Dallas Observer. First elected in 2004, she was the first Latina ever elected to a county-wide bench in Dallas County. She was re-elected for a third term in 2010. They have the world's best daughter, Maria, and an incredible dog, Daisy. (As always, if you like this post, then "like" this on Facebook by clicking the box below, so others can see too...)

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